Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Maria Sara Popa vs Tamara Zidansek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2163704af224a103fe69638115039f4f85f890f17507be654b5089f797ed7598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tamara Zidansekof Maria Sara Popa, Tamara Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,912 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Maria Sara Popa | 0c | 9,163$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Maria Sara Popa | 43c | 5,163$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.47 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Maria Sara Popa | 7c | 4,300$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 3,149$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tamara Zidansek | 70c | 2,558$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 2,546$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tamara Zidansek | 67c | 2,218$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.64 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maria Sara Popa | 6c | 1,851$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 1,612$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 1,553$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maria Sara Popa | 11c | 1,400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 1,169$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 1,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…5da7backed Maria Sara Popa | 5c | 922.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Maria Sara Popa | 26c | 877.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Maria Sara Popa | 6c | 873.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maria Sara Popa | 5c | 814.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Maria Sara Popa | 42c | 799.96$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 996 | 39.9%397 W · 599 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Maria Sara Popa | 6c | 559.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 544.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 504.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 497.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Sara Popa | 22c | 402$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 338$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Maria Sara Popa | 37c | 335$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maria Sara Popa | 36c | 316$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tamara Zidansek | 58c | 306.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 1,132 | 42.8%485 W · 647 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Maria Sara Popa | 43c | 304.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Maria Sara Popa | 5c | 252.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…df9ebacked Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 240.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Maria Sara Popa | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maria Sara Popa | 6c | 230$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Maria Sara Popa | 7c | 214.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Maria Sara Popa | 27c | 209.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Tamara Zidansek | 75c | 206.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Maria Sara Popa | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Maria Sara Popa | 13c | 199.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Maria Sara Popa | 7c | 197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Tamara Zidansek | 78c | 192.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Maria Sara Popa | 6c | 173.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tamara Zidansek | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 157$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 8c | 150.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 586 | 48.5%284 W · 302 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Maria Sara Popa | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 136$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 869 | 47.9%416 W · 453 L | +31.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 14c | 122.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Tamara Zidansek | 79c | 103.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…c711backed Maria Sara Popa | 14c | 101.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tamara Zidansek | 58c | 98.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Maria Sara Popa | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tamara Zidansek | 46c | 75.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Tamara Zidansek | 74c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Maria Sara Popa | 28c | 63.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Maria Sara Popa | 21c | 63.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tamara Zidansek | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Tamara Zidansek | 78c | 58.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Tamara Zidansek | 70c | 53.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Tamara Zidansek | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Tamara Zidansek | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +18.4wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Tamara Zidansek | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 47.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Tamara Zidansek | 48c | 47.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Tamara Zidansek | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Maria Sara Popa | 45c | 42.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Maria Sara Popa | 47c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tamara Zidansek | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Maria Sara Popa | 43c | 30.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Tamara Zidansek | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Tamara Zidansek | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tamara Zidansek | 67c | 23.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maria Sara Popa | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Tamara Zidansek | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tamara Zidansek | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Tamara Zidansek | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalya 3: Maria Sara Popa vs Tamara Zidansekthis page
- Maria Sara Popa vs. Tamara Zidansek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Popa vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Popa vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Popa vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Popa vs ZidansekZidansek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.