Us Politics · resolved market
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc252e9bc09080c0a056c9aa4bd00ce5a8a261c61676cc96ffe84711d4c021977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $802,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $874,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 21c | 36,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…b8e5backed Yes | 5c | 27,228$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 22c | 16,874$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…4fbfbacked No | 67c | 16,331$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 15,231$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.22 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 49c | 14,563$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,076.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 63c | 12,366$7,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…1a17backed Yes | 2c | 11,119$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 6c | 9,736$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.48 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 75c | 8,250$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 3c | 8,242$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 20c | 7,752$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 16c | 7,096$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.62 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 13c | 6,969$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,950$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 55c | 6,696$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 22c | 6,388$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.96 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 4c | 6,132$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed Yes | 3c | 5,901$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 4c | 5,432$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,019$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Yes | 50c | 5,004$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 50c | 4,962$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.65 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…16fbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,947$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed No | 50c | 4,873$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…8c95backed Yes | 8c | 4,772$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Yes | 7c | 4,754$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 18c | 4,499$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…648dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,263$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 50c | 4,166$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.97 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed Yes | 4c | 4,165$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 39c | 3,654$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.65 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 64c | 3,354$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 3c | 3,335$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 76c | 3,094$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.18 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 24c | 3,074$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.66 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 14c | 3,053$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 43c | 3,036$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.11 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…6974backed Yes | 37c | 2,804$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 59c | 2,789$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 23c | 2,713$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…a2a8backed Yes | 23c | 2,520$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 6c | 2,462$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 7c | 2,434$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…33ecbacked Yes | 5c | 2,257$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…7935backed Yes | 2c | 2,164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…fc56backed Yes | 13c | 2,150$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 16c | 1,937$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 13c | 1,935$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed Yes | 27c | 1,837$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,809$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 12c | 1,792$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,707$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.19 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…2a81backed Yes | 61c | 1,626$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 33c | 1,494$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,491$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…7adbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,480$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…24efbacked Yes | 8c | 1,380$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…0cc8backed Yes | 44c | 1,365$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…7fbdbacked Yes | 76c | 1,294$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…d4e5backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…cf93backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 63c | 1,233$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.27 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…fe90backed Yes | 52c | 1,224$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 39c | 1,223$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 9c | 1,220$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 29c | 1,202$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…a9e5backed No | 51c | 1,181$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…f95dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,166$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…cf3fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,158$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…073ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,146$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,141$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…78afbacked Yes | 3c | 1,123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…f205backed Yes | 8c | 1,116$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked Yes | 55c | 1,101$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…8e0bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 37c | 1,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 58c | 1,084$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.14 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,084$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 76c | 1,078$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 19c | 1,050$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 45c | 1,030$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.53 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,009$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 29c | 965.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 2c | 959.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 59c | 930$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 919.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 35c | 903.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 3c | 893.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked No | 66c | 887.98$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 70c | 859.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 28c | 850.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…a1eebacked No | 61c | 814.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 11c | 794.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 14c | 767.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked Yes | 27c | 750.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.