Token Launches · resolved market
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3282e5d3e9c10396d0ccc4d129774cab5eecea3897fe678f540555a20046ed8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $972,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 1c | 71,105$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 1c | 29,100$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 3c | 19,597$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.93 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 4c | 19,274$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 7c | 19,267$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…4632backed No | 0c | 17,187$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 2c | 12,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…a60cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…a2bdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 3c | 8,202$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa534…63edbacked No | 0c | 6,350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed No | 2c | 6,326$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 4c | 5,855$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 5,812$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 5,375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…d977backed No | 1c | 4,866$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…3e64backed No | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed No | 1c | 3,649$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…5d8ebacked No | 2c | 2,986$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…bb35backed No | 1c | 1,627$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…53d0backed No | 8c | 1,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 3c | 894.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 2c | 607.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…5ce5backed No | 5c | 545.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 4c | 516.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked No | 6c | 269$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.