Us Politics · resolved market
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc132a82b2cb740fa3b2aeb5c0148401073cf5d9df1337d10ac1685f32b09a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,663,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,923,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,663,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd59…5cd6backed No | 1c | 56,273$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 54,889$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.97 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…d2f6backed No | 2c | 52,565$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…284dbacked No | 1c | 50,689$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 36,801$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.89 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…5b50backed No | 4c | 30,535$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked No | 2c | 18,995$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 13c | 18,896$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.87 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…70febacked No | 3c | 12,645$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…2d68backed No | 1c | 12,552$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…76d9backed No | 1c | 12,027$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…0091backed No | 2c | 11,606$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 0c | 10,303$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…44e1backed No | 1c | 10,255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…73f4backed No | 0c | 9,974$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 0c | 9,939$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 9,435$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e67…55abbacked No | 0c | 9,333$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17d…9d3dbacked No | 1c | 8,744$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 2c | 8,571$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…db30backed No | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 2c | 8,308$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed No | 1c | 7,773$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…15bbbacked No | 1c | 7,677$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 1c | 6,989$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…126fbacked No | 2c | 5,874$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…ce31backed No | 2c | 5,844$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…2122backed No | 1c | 5,759$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 1c | 5,611$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…9ecfbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…36efbacked No | 1c | 4,925$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked No | 1c | 4,920$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…5b9fbacked No | 1c | 4,567$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…a2a8backed No | 2c | 4,426$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed No | 1c | 4,394$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 2c | 3,577$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 2c | 3,124$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…7d65backed No | 2c | 2,960$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 2,734$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed No | 1c | 2,677$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed No | 2c | 2,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 9c | 2,400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 2c | 2,400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed No | 2c | 2,379$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 74c | 2,334$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…6b72backed No | 1c | 2,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…5ec5backed No | 1c | 2,246$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed No | 1c | 2,226$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…db7dbacked No | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…96f6backed No | 3c | 2,141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…41b9backed No | 2c | 2,101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cc…bdcebacked No | 1c | 2,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…2125backed No | 1c | 2,038$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…4168backed No | 1c | 2,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…5258backed No | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…0048backed No | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 2c | 1,914$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 51c | 1,826$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.29 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 12c | 1,733$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…d34abacked No | 2c | 1,688$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed No | 1c | 1,677$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed No | 1c | 1,610$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…8144backed No | 2c | 1,595$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…7d8fbacked No | 1c | 1,545$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…eaabbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 4c | 1,451$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…5d34backed No | 3c | 1,447$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked No | 9c | 1,444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…72b9backed No | 1c | 1,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…ca75backed No | 1c | 1,318$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…e2b2backed No | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…9faebacked No | 4c | 1,204$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…f762backed No | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…16cebacked No | 3c | 1,186$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed No | 2c | 1,125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…2bdfbacked No | 1c | 1,119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…9861backed No | 2c | 1,067$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…5539backed No | 3c | 1,050$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked No | 2c | 1,046$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…28cabacked No | 3c | 966.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed No | 2c | 928.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 3c | 923.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…6011backed No | 2c | 909.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed No | 2c | 808.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…0f7cbacked No | 1c | 759.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…903abacked No | 1c | 718.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed No | 40c | 684.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…3579backed No | 47c | 631.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…17dfbacked No | 4c | 594.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…6ed3backed No | 3c | 555.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed No | 8c | 552.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ab…e4edbacked No | 5c | 539.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…42a4backed No | 2c | 525.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…26bfbacked Yes | 60c | 500.91$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…ee99backed No | 6c | 428.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.