Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc429872a806572e30813ba92d03493454fd4d6a85b38af873a742ba7602ab2f

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $591,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $545,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc323…e353backed Yes	12c	35,212$4,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.04	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a1…e0d3backed Yes	9c	33,476$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995.73	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…9dc5backed Yes	10c	28,282$2,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41d…c563backed Yes	10c	26,874$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,684.15	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	13c	20,037$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539.95	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5a…6509backed Yes	10c	19,143$1,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,929.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	7c	15,420$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.23	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Yes	9c	13,334$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.89	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Yes	11c	12,111$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.79	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e64…2190backed Yes	10c	11,224$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…8b28backed Yes	14c	9,470$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa9…b5a4backed Yes	8c	7,896$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes	10c	7,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc35a…0083backed Yes	8c	7,388$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…0c54backed Yes	8c	7,378$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.64	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…ecf0backed Yes	8c	7,315$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.96	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked Yes	11c	6,922$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.19	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	6,900$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.3	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…77dfbacked Yes	7c	6,863$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.12	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes	14c	6,366$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.25	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…22a8backed Yes	10c	6,001$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.74	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	26cpaid	-81%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea94…0b47backed Yes	10c	5,732$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51b…35dcbacked Yes	9c	5,670$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.3	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…7a7abacked Yes	8c	5,579$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…ceb2backed Yes	8c	5,027$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.81	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-89.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…7809backed Yes	5c	4,423$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes	9c	4,288$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.6	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcce…b774backed Yes	9c	4,241$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…9504backed Yes	6c	3,955$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…460bbacked Yes	8c	3,594$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x078d…315ebacked Yes	9c	3,405$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes	4c	3,333$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.65	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	6c	3,320$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.54	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6b70backed Yes	14c	3,292$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4947…b367backed Yes	11c	3,102$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	9c	3,040$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.62	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-90.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6997…8f2fbacked Yes	2c	2,933$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f3…fdcabacked Yes	3c	2,926$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03e…f549backed Yes	7c	2,861$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…ea11backed Yes	9c	2,782$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…fa96backed Yes	14c	2,642$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…07acbacked Yes	8c	2,404$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f09…8a8abacked Yes	5c	2,391$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	14c	2,323$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.36	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06e…f7c2backed Yes	5c	2,300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88e1…6d1cbacked Yes	13c	2,245$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe04e…05fabacked Yes	9c	2,233$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58a…25b6backed Yes	13c	2,216$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1829…7c25backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	5c	2,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5b…dd4abacked Yes	8c	1,950$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Yes	6c	1,750$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	28c	1,681$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.8	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0deb…057dbacked Yes	10c	1,653$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0be…8534backed Yes	13c	1,540$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1acf…5379backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-84%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa541…ba2cbacked Yes	8c	1,476$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f9…2924backed Yes	14c	1,419$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e9…60b7backed Yes	10c	1,400$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.1	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ef…8793backed Yes	7c	1,399$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c33…8bbfbacked Yes	8c	1,235$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed Yes	8c	1,230$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f7…d311backed Yes	9c	1,176$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…36c3backed Yes	6c	1,062$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d51…c20bbacked Yes	11c	1,038$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.02	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	100	14%14 W · 86 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c22…3bcbbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0817…d7fabacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc95…aab8backed Yes	10c	1,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…51f8backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…8fdcbacked Yes	8c	943.89$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f33…6704backed Yes	5c	943.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7d…c2c2backed Yes	8c	941.18$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f6…8812backed Yes	12c	929.45$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11c…5d21backed Yes	7c	904.14$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd3…8904backed Yes	8c	849.78$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54cb…e457backed Yes	8c	798.17$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…21bfbacked Yes	11c	779.58$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb93…4da8backed Yes	9c	777.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3f…5d43backed Yes	13c	718.84$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.39	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes	15c	698.65$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.95	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf8d…c5c9backed Yes	9c	695.9$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc3…6a6bbacked Yes	16c	632.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e2…2f3ebacked Yes	12c	604.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-67%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x020e…7528backed Yes	9c	559.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4de…bb24backed Yes	6c	558.37$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	533$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6855…0cc5backed Yes	5c	530.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa7…d8f0backed Yes	8c	513.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee0…1360backed Yes	7c	501.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…8affbacked Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2e…e78bbacked Yes	9c	500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes	7c	481.53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb617…a7adbacked Yes	6c	470.83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes	12c	468.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.45	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x457d…c8e7backed Yes	14c	435.71$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	425.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228a…1677backed Yes	12c	418.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfb…359fbacked Yes	5c	417.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf3…23e6backed Yes	14c	389.14$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?this page
Will another party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Green Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the People's Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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