Token Launches · resolved market
Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d78a6ad542beb7a52bfe337f16254cb0b66228f9364fddf5fc7176ba109506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 1c | 7,881$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…1025backed Yes | 2c | 5,920$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 3,207$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,833$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,351$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…d0f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,941$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +2,410.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…8a2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,727$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…a274backed Yes | 1c | 1,088$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +239.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…f209backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…b7c0backed Yes | 2c | 793.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…f85abacked Yes | 19c | 746.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…48adbacked Yes | 2c | 698.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…f4abbacked Yes | 3c | 684.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 5c | 368.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 217.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 186.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed Yes | 16c | 117.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed No | 43c | 49.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.