Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63a065f9ecda90a576442c87163a25539a9e55ecd45a31b356891def475da4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 46c | 2,997$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.56 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…4c0cbacked No | 65c | 1,700$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 43c | 1,611$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.66 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 55c | 1,257$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.71 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 53c | 1,210$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed Yes | 43c | 1,026$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 666$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed Yes | 28c | 600$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 68c | 535.65$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.7 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…87c0backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…d9a5backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…c0f4backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…e09dbacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 74c | 153$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…8ea4backed Yes | 26c | 114.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…5d54backed Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.