Us Politics · resolved market
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850acb64a9180f566d52f29a667010493e1500ccc72f7d1b358374e48f36c16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed No | 25c | 9,865$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 71c | 9,439$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,743.49 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 32c | 9,324$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.88 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 68c | 8,953$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.25 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 69c | 7,702$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.92 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 28c | 7,187$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.42 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 74c | 6,338$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 33c | 5,088$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.47 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 66c | 5,059$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.24 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…5657backed Yes | 76c | 3,928$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 12c | 3,491$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 23c | 3,440$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.34 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 70c | 3,200$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 35c | 2,518$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.89 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 32c | 2,349$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.51 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,010$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0d…c3a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,839$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…5bc1backed Yes | 74c | 1,778$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 38c | 1,757$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…4973backed Yes | 66c | 1,740$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked No | 15c | 1,440$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 77c | 1,308$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,076$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 67c | 995.47$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ae…ccf7backed Yes | 73c | 981.44$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…a9e5backed No | 25c | 938.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…a5eabacked No | 58c | 930$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…6574backed Yes | 42c | 930$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 30c | 861.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…1bc1backed Yes | 76c | 795.17$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…ba93backed No | 28c | 774.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 70c | 634$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 69c | 630$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked No | 35c | 579.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…fc4cbacked No | 21c | 527.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.43 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…98eabacked Yes | 68c | 479.26$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed Yes | 62c | 453.84$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…a5a0backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6050…80d6backed No | 55c | 387.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…6ee0backed Yes | 70c | 374$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…ab84backed Yes | 75c | 330.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 75c | 308$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…3041backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…a96abacked Yes | 67c | 298.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 32c | 294.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…9d22backed Yes | 70c | 285.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…7bf2backed No | 16c | 279.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…448ebacked Yes | 75c | 260.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…0139backed Yes | 77c | 258.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…b605backed Yes | 79c | 253.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…8021backed Yes | 70c | 250.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…8eaebacked Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…30a1backed No | 35c | 225$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 24c | 222$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…22acbacked Yes | 68c | 203.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 55c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…4c49backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…00c9backed Yes | 69c | 186.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a5…2edabacked Yes | 65c | 173.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…a67ebacked Yes | 67c | 172.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…232cbacked Yes | 65c | 172.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…08e1backed Yes | 69c | 170.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…e7babacked Yes | 75c | 167.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…666cbacked Yes | 64c | 157.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…85b5backed Yes | 64c | 157.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…f318backed Yes | 64c | 157.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…c074backed Yes | 64c | 157.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…8635backed Yes | 65c | 156.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…b66bbacked Yes | 65c | 155.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…2ee8backed Yes | 66c | 154.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…d8a2backed Yes | 65c | 150.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…ffdcbacked Yes | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 131.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…a059backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…d462backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 18c | 119.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Yes | 76c | 119$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…8181backed Yes | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…7941backed No | 35c | 110.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 70c | 103$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…3ad6backed Yes | 64c | 102.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.