Token Launches · resolved market
OpenSea airdrop before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a81b427bb43d91055466e19d1f48311ed5dcce48eca845146967108584526c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 7,641$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 55c | 5,945$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 44c | 5,894$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…935abacked No | 78c | 3,318$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 23c | 3,260$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 2c | 3,159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…1f5dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,997$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 27c | 2,765$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 0c | 2,755$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 69c | 2,475$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…5990backed Yes | 5c | 2,350$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…b082backed Yes | 10c | 2,093$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 13c | 2,066$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.9 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…8243backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 38c | 1,866$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 23c | 1,631$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…0f41backed Yes | 36c | 1,391$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 1,229$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 8c | 1,200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…dc37backed Yes | 1c | 1,142$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 1c | 996.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 65c | 989.67$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…38e1backed Yes | 3c | 959.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…d330backed Yes | 14c | 884.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…dd08backed No | 74c | 808.89$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 79c | 798.77$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 713.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…bd2bbacked Yes | 18c | 713.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…c1d7backed No | 25c | 706.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…e048backed No | 14c | 698.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 70c | 625.46$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.68 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…2bd8backed Yes | 2c | 595.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…972bbacked Yes | 18c | 594$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 5c | 575.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +331.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 4c | 569.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 7c | 532.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.35 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 483.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…8975backed Yes | 21c | 469.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…0b3abacked Yes | 5c | 453$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 427.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…b44ebacked No | 7c | 420.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +442%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…3a63backed Yes | 70c | 400.14$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked No | 25c | 395.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…d124backed No | 56c | 381.39$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 10c | 380.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…0a68backed Yes | 27c | 369.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 6c | 341.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 333.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…f947backed Yes | 33c | 311$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…495dbacked Yes | 17c | 286.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…314abacked Yes | 36c | 280.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…b9f5backed Yes | 70c | 246.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 47c | 245$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 8c | 243.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebc…9abfbacked No | 67c | 242.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed No | 70c | 241.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 225.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 221.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 207.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…c198backed No | 68c | 198.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 70c | 183.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 182.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…ad9abacked Yes | 12c | 178.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 44c | 171.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…86b9backed Yes | 76c | 164.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed No | 72c | 162.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…be64backed No | 70c | 157.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…b99bbacked Yes | 33c | 152$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…9f1fbacked Yes | 33c | 151.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…d32bbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…c410backed No | 67c | 146.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…9d76backed Yes | 73c | 137.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 71c | 133.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…2fb9backed No | 37c | 133.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 71c | 126.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 9c | 125.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…927bbacked Yes | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…ba3bbacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 58c | 118.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed Yes | 69c | 117.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked No | 73c | 114.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2cc0backed No | 66c | 111.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked Yes | 33c | 108.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…766ebacked Yes | 77c | 103.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…7604backed Yes | 20c | 101.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733f…3c56backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +796.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…c653backed Yes | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 38c | 97.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 26c | 95.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…bb87backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…5ad6backed No | 24c | 82.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e1…dde3backed Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 35c | 79.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…de2fbacked No | 61c | 77.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.