Champions League · resolved market
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d75106e81a8512c15121c67d7c17f8de05922d2379e4f524a9bfac453afc3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 74c | 5,356$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,946$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.1 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 26c | 4,712$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.89 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 28c | 3,679$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.75 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 72c | 3,550$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.92 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 26c | 3,100$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 19c | 2,636$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.96 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 2,135$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.7 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 40c | 1,737$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.04 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 79c | 1,521$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 63c | 1,230$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 45c | 945.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…d646backed No | 72c | 857.1$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 77c | 775.95$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.92 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 65c | 538$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 29c | 505$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Yes | 43c | 442.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 71c | 254$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 22c | 249.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 168.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed Yes | 24c | 128.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 78c | 95.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d8d3backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 28c | 72.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 34c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 77c | 65.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…cd6fbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…deafbacked Yes | 39c | 50.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 25c | 50.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…1d8fbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Yes | 28c | 44.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…a040backed Yes | 28c | 39.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…04a3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed No | 76c | 13.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will a club from Brazil win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from Germany win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from Italy win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from Saudi Arabia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from Spain win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will a club from the United States win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.