Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895aef0f7bcd24e44ef80077534bdf560d29d8577d3681d30ed0952d74cad442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $541,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fa7…c623backed Yes | 6c | 57,339$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…2138backed Yes | 3c | 30,023$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 7c | 21,231$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 6c | 14,500$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…1867backed Yes | 2c | 10,838$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed Yes | 2c | 10,613$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 7,808$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 6,908$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.3 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 6,574$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 4c | 5,567$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.61 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…44bdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,406$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Yes | 7c | 5,008$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 4,994$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,396$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…5ce0backed Yes | 2c | 4,391$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…d2b2backed Yes | 4c | 4,369$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 4,358$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,903$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…6d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,654$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…49e4backed Yes | 4c | 3,651$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…f47cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,607$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,432$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 2c | 3,335$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…afd5backed Yes | 2c | 3,156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,851$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Yes | 2c | 2,660$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…17b2backed Yes | 19c | 2,572$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 2,538$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 5c | 2,501$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,329$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225d…3d90backed Yes | 6c | 2,314$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 2,286$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…9601backed Yes | 1c | 2,277$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…e4b9backed Yes | 9c | 2,256$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…0d6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…628dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,983$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,943$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…8766backed Yes | 6c | 1,917$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 5c | 1,915$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,856$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…ce15backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,771$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,744$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 2c | 1,692$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…8f1ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,670$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed Yes | 4c | 1,667$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,649$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 1,646$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 19c | 1,582$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,438$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…390ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,414$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 9c | 1,376$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,362$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,301$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 3c | 1,286$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,256$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…a21cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 80c | 1,120$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,109$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,061$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,041$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…778cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,027$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…556bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b37…0d27backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…a8cdbacked Yes | 5c | 997.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…4992backed Yes | 2c | 972.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ea…de35backed Yes | 2c | 934.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +133%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 899.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…5a2dbacked Yes | 17c | 860.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 2c | 837.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…af6cbacked Yes | 6c | 819.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…05adbacked Yes | 19c | 809.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 76c | 800$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 785.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 771.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…9395backed Yes | 4c | 763.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 2c | 741.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 3c | 730$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 3c | 724.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…af54backed Yes | 6c | 704.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…0e17backed Yes | 16c | 699.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 3c | 673.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e5…6f43backed Yes | 10c | 673.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c404backed Yes | 6c | 650.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 3c | 632.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c69…1019backed Yes | 3c | 615.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.