Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e234b58426de8c74a6df9292f9d18eb52c909350ef56fad5c25874dc8d1dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 63c | 206,660$129,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,995.47 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 173,056$63,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,727.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 29c | 65,598$18,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,894.01 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 63c | 53,120$33,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,598.13 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 38c | 32,208$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,361.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 23,528$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.36 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 59c | 16,837$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,835.33 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 15,413$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,838.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 13,558$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.86 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.1 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 61c | 8,663$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.6 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 39c | 6,066$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.51 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 36c | 6,042$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.66 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 37c | 5,671$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.96 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 39c | 4,939$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 39c | 4,925$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.46 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 38c | 4,650$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.74 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed No | 63c | 4,420$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 3,970$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 3,960$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.78 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 3,458$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 3,434$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 33c | 2,920$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 66c | 2,874$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.54 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 61c | 2,724$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.45 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 61c | 2,063$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.54 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 37c | 1,911$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 62c | 1,754$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 38c | 1,611$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 62c | 1,592$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 1,592$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.81 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 61c | 1,579$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.64 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 29c | 1,533$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 66c | 1,512$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.76 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 32c | 1,463$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.53 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,450$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.43 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 64c | 1,254$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 60c | 1,110$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.44 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 60c | 1,093$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.06 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5405backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 969.1$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 61c | 964.93$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.73 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 957.85$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.28 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 850.9$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…9f2abacked No | 61c | 812.5$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 40c | 788$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 62c | 738.12$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 40c | 665.6$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 38c | 614$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 36c | 477.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9074…ea32backed Yes | 37c | 425.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 24c | 404.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 373.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 61c | 317$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…6afdbacked No | 63c | 304.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…8d5ebacked Yes | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 61c | 282.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 37c | 271.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 37c | 242$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Yes | 40c | 236.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 41c | 236$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 38c | 222.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 208$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 208$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 208$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked No | 62c | 202.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…150abacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 60c | 194.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…f772backed No | 64c | 189.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 61c | 189.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 61c | 184.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 23c | 168.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…8183backed Yes | 38c | 138.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 38c | 132.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…ad3cbacked No | 64c | 129.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…5418backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 127.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Yes | 36c | 126.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 62c | 119.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed No | 62c | 119.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…c37bbacked Yes | 37c | 106.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…13e0backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 62c | 97.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed No | 64c | 92.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 60c | 88.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico to win the second half?this page
- Ecuador to win the second half?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.