Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2e07d860f29ee7cc657a9600886b60aece57074871777d2e98e9b722d39233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 39c | 15,324$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,323.61 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 14,498$8,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,834.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 2,700$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 2,542$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…63f1backed Yes | 41c | 2,426$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 2,189$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.19 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Yes | 36c | 2,144$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…d109backed Yes | 41c | 2,043$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Yes | 41c | 2,042$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 59c | 1,484$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.27 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 19c | 1,432$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 8c | 1,415$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 8c | 1,218$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 8c | 1,218$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 8c | 1,213$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 8c | 1,159$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 8c | 1,014$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 969.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 28c | 937.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 841$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 757.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 40c | 614.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.7 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 8c | 608$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 9c | 522$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 8c | 406$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 406$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 403.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 356.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 33c | 341.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 46c | 296.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 34c | 242$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 209$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 8c | 202$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…6ab7backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 59c | 145$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 25c | 133.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 59c | 123.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 60c | 110.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…ba10backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 59c | 58.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…7f33backed Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…60a6backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…b4bbbacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?this page
- Ecuador to win the second half?No won
- Mexico to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.