TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under67c5,845$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.0236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under29c5,845$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.6935054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under42c2,834$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.155658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Over29c2,108$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1849841.8%208 W · 290 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over41c1,921$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.661,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over47c1,423$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.731345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under53c1,334$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9419351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under53c1,133$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.3621945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Over29c1,127$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9111151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed Under53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e30…3f4cbacked Over48c657.5$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over65c566.51$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.471,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Under34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.997353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3710261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over46c338.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over51c294.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c286.27$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over30c274.41$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.291,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over46c266.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Under31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0616254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under78c236.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.641,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under30c215.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7910452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Under64c199.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.993158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over47c187.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Under54c185.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2910556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over48c184.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3421856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over45c163.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6414344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under33c141.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4913240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Under64c140.59$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.259746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c138.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.337,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under58c135.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.463,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over28c130.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.831,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7932139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.637453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x115b…3981backed Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over27c114$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.025,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187d…9b50backed Over49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66a…ca12backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under52c104.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0584…75eabacked Over48c103.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4105…9d06backed Over48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c90.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1873548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Under69c89.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.222737%10 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Over51c87.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Over29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd85d…0f24backed Over47c82.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under72c77.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0868059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c62.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3027753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under48c61.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…2411backed Over47c60.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.652556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bac…fae6backed Over47c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272777.8%21 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over52c57.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Under53c56.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over49c55.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under54c55.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4911358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c53.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.142,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92df…9bc2backed Over49c53.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9351backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under52c48.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over26c43.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3337149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under55c42.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.362,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…eaabbacked Over51c41.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5577…988cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9e…4bf4backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under53c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3916967.5%114 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.627842.4%118 W · 160 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x892c…5b27backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89c…df9abacked Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over37c31.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…8c5bbacked Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16943.5%30 W · 39 L-10.8wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.