MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3af0023e79bb777ef3795741600a3b152ce7dcb27aeed7991a38421f0acffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 47c | 175,087$81,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,538.19 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 37,947$19,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,814.99 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 24,196$12,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,836.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 19,555$10,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,363.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 16,565$8,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,945.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 53c | 15,647$8,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,292.91 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 9,655$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.15 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 4,332$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,523$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,740$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 1,714$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 1,571$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.44 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 53c | 1,356$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.7 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 700.53$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 53c | 694$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.82 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 682$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.87 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 611$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 603.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 54c | 602$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 56c | 399$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 53c | 392.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 384.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 324$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…ca6abacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 26c | 274$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 42c | 238.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 57c | 237.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed Under | 53c | 210.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Under | 53c | 184.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 47c | 165.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 56c | 142.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 67c | 107.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 97.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 36c | 77.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 52c | 71.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 66.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 59.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 53c | 53.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 53c | 51.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 48.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 52c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 53c | 44.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 53c | 44.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 39c | 43.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 42.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 53c | 41.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 53c | 30.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 55c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Under | 53c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Over | 47c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 53c | 23.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…1c2dbacked Over | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Under | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.