MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09fbaba76236671313e03c0dd341e24e8b16cb1fca7e04673a5c5d6fddc5c09e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 73,293$25,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,672.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 33,314$14,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,991.08 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 33,124$21,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 21,848$9,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,831.54 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 18,286$12,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 17,119$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,703.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 16,681$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 15,937$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 12,671$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 9,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 8,931$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 5,692$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 5,677$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 5,514$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.27 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.1 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 4,363$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 3,706$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,863$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.49 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,632$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.45 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,454$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,976$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,898$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,896$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 1,822$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.53 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,600$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.12 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,579$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,535$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 1,292$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.71 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 1,200$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,185$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.05 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 1,134$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 1,118$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,115$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.67 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,052$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 975.26$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 895$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 866.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 832.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 800$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 733.01$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.1 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 690$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 685.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 666.54$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 601.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 570.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 564.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 538.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 521.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 505.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 462.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 454.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 437$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 431$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 379.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 352.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 346.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 341$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 337.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 320.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 304$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 299.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 290$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 282.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 281.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 280.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 274.72$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 271.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 270.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 270.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 265.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 245.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 240.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 237.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 228.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 219.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…8e23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 183.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.