Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf863142434e36f6f4d350576ae6a34b57779cbd50e9de8d120fa0c96207e6e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof KRÜ Spark, 9z Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KRÜ Spark | 36c | 1,373$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.96 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked KRÜ Spark | 15c | 1,002$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked KRÜ Spark | 64c | 872.44$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 9z Team | 37c | 749.83$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 9z Team | 48c | 705.39$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z Team | 48c | 614.41$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked KRÜ Spark | 25c | 576.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z Team | 60c | 526.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KRÜ Spark | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed 9z Team | 48c | 388.12$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Spark | 31c | 302.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed KRÜ Spark | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…cff0backed KRÜ Spark | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked KRÜ Spark | 60c | 248.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KRÜ Spark | 44c | 195.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…21c5backed 9z Team | 52c | 192.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Spark | 46c | 145.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 46c | 139.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KRÜ Spark | 25c | 121.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed 9z Team | 40c | 96.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked KRÜ Spark | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed 9z Team | 58c | 86.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KRÜ Spark | 31c | 83.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KRÜ Spark | 25c | 79.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked 9z Team | 43c | 60.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed 9z Team | 50c | 52.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked 9z Team | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 9z Team | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked KRÜ Spark | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KRÜ Spark | 57c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Spark | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed 9z Team | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed 9z Team | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.