Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f404f453ef5953f3d931d45102c91764a8f0e46bf4c4677da60f62be57b692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof KRÜ Spark, 9z Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked 9z Team | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KRÜ Spark | 64c | 729$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z Team | 61c | 640.81$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.69 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed KRÜ Spark | 54c | 371.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed KRÜ Spark | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed KRÜ Spark | 36c | 286.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 42c | 242.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z Team | 44c | 239.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 9z Team | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 59c | 189.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KRÜ Spark | 68c | 186$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed 9z Team | 38c | 174.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed KRÜ Spark | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed KRÜ Spark | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked KRÜ Spark | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked KRÜ Spark | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked KRÜ Spark | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z Team | 42c | 138.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed 9z Team | 47c | 106.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed 9z Team | 52c | 102.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked KRÜ Spark | 26c | 80.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked KRÜ Spark | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked KRÜ Spark | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…8ed3backed 9z Team | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed 9z Team | 73c | 55.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 9z Team | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 45.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed KRÜ Spark | 51c | 43.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked KRÜ Spark | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 9z Team | 51c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed KRÜ Spark | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…f531backed 9z Team | 47c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z Team | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked KRÜ Spark | 59c | 20.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 3 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.