Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8e1e940c8772faf2380f55093799f433907e3b2446d2dadad7220ffe78820e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof KRÜ Spark, 9z Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z Team | 13c | 340$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 61c | 263.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Spark | 60c | 167.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed 9z Team | 43c | 128.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z Team | 35c | 105.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z Team | 38c | 105.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…7a33backed 9z Team | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked 9z Team | 40c | 72.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z Team | 17c | 65.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KRÜ Spark | 59c | 51.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed KRÜ Spark | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed KRÜ Spark | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 3 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.