TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAW Youngstersof Atreides, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Atreides56c5,541$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.3992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Atreides55c5,100$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.9944551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2526…218ebacked Atreides62c4,616$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.264973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides55c4,599$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.4575356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SAW Youngsters39c4,408$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.525,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW Youngsters44c2,904$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.922,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Atreides75c2,897$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.875,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters45c2,475$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.255,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Atreides56c2,310$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.7324551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…bfacbacked SAW Youngsters44c1,960$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa814…e9d3backed Atreides48c1,882$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW Youngsters43c1,865$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Atreides54c1,837$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1643954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SAW Youngsters44c1,741$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.552,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Atreides66c1,450$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.012,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW Youngsters44c1,396$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.247,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked SAW Youngsters52c1,295$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.5759445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked SAW Youngsters43c1,294$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.962,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed SAW Youngsters46c1,176$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.9375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW Youngsters49c1,162$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.381,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Atreides56c939.27$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4745538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Atreides55c909.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9716850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Atreides39c904.48$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2349342%207 W · 286 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SAW Youngsters28c891.93$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.395,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atreides76c858.96$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.152,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed SAW Youngsters37c840.76$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.5589630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters38c799.37$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.042,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Atreides55c688.91$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0227647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed SAW Youngsters34c614.96$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7627544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed SAW Youngsters73c594.34$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4736749.6%182 W · 185 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SAW Youngsters28c575$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.452,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Atreides50c549.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517340.5%70 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atreides33c407.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.551,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed SAW Youngsters46c402.17$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.171,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed SAW Youngsters45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22040542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…fe47backed Atreides67c399.97$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed SAW Youngsters23c394.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.538839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides41c379.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.233,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed SAW Youngsters27c369.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0923146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Atreides55c363.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1935153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed SAW Youngsters15c363.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.391,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Atreides72c329.59$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.111,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed SAW Youngsters24c311$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.055742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked Atreides63c307.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2310647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed SAW Youngsters34c300$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19933146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed SAW Youngsters45c295.23$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6949843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56af…3065backed SAW Youngsters31c294.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.585920.3%12 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked SAW Youngsters27c281.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.633759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcada…57d7backed SAW Youngsters73c264.64$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed SAW Youngsters23c254.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19611349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Atreides23c224.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8160232.4%195 W · 407 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters52c214.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.994,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed SAW Youngsters43c208.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7489046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed SAW Youngsters43c205$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb71f…043ebacked Atreides62c204.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.643745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed SAW Youngsters35c195.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7928434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed SAW Youngsters25c192.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6648939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1207…9795backed SAW Youngsters24c192.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed SAW Youngsters32c184.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.410438.5%40 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc35b…8dddbacked SAW Youngsters38c184.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.491030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Atreides22c183.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Atreides11c181.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…ac81backed SAW Youngsters72c179.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Atreides77c176.92$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.925954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed SAW Youngsters17c169.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.454528.9%13 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atreides57c166.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7520745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Atreides64c161.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.071,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked SAW Youngsters38c160$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atreides39c158.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.322,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5726…d1a2backed Atreides31c154.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Atreides65c154.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides75c149.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.086,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed SAW Youngsters28c145$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41,08737.5%408 W · 679 L+33.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed SAW Youngsters47c139.42$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.741560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Atreides73c136.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed SAW Youngsters50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4521251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked SAW Youngsters46c133.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8243155.9%241 W · 190 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides45c131.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.013,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SAW Youngsters25c122$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.534626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed SAW Youngsters36c119$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2432139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed SAW Youngsters43c115.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.439538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed SAW Youngsters23c115$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5510731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked SAW Youngsters47c114.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8374653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f78fbacked SAW Youngsters35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.293119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed SAW Youngsters46c113.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed SAW Youngsters50c107.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2220454.4%111 W · 93 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Atreides39c102.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2815335.9%55 W · 98 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed SAW Youngsters26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4d…6211backed Atreides68c99.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.913756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6f…cc54backed Atreides68c98.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atreides50c98.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.161,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW Youngsters44c98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.72,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters40c97.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked SAW Youngsters38c91.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.618647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed SAW Youngsters23c90$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.311844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7415…b585backed SAW Youngsters34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.244845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed SAW Youngsters33c87.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7627831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SAW Youngsters24c86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.361,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225e…ac2dbacked Atreides74c85.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Atreides55c84.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5632951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.