CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x680a9c5568aa9385114f95d19fd1a5569741c34fb0094d11660327cbda239f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Atreides | 66c | 2,189$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.97 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW Youngsters | 39c | 531.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SAW Youngsters | 36c | 354.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 71c | 212.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides | 55c | 201.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW Youngsters | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Atreides | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed SAW Youngsters | 29c | 194.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 62c | 194$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW Youngsters | 28c | 188.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW Youngsters | 29c | 162$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters | 29c | 162$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SAW Youngsters | 38c | 158.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Atreides | 69c | 157.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Atreides | 57c | 154$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW Youngsters | 36c | 145.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW Youngsters | 29c | 126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed SAW Youngsters | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SAW Youngsters | 43c | 109.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked SAW Youngsters | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked SAW Youngsters | 45c | 86.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed SAW Youngsters | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 68c | 65.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked SAW Youngsters | 38c | 63.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 66c | 63.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed SAW Youngsters | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed SAW Youngsters | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed SAW Youngsters | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 79c | 52.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed SAW Youngsters | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked SAW Youngsters | 41c | 47.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed SAW Youngsters | 34c | 45.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed SAW Youngsters | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked SAW Youngsters | 40c | 36.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 64c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Atreides | 56c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)SAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.