CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c9c7c528f866cad1a7b11f6f00404f1c672e184bd93f4b30ec471f0bf1f16d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 2,477$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed UNO MILLE | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNO MILLE | 43c | 849.8$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed UNO MILLE | 46c | 828$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 803.25$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 460.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 445$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed UNO MILLE | 54c | 407.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE | 46c | 395.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 387$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed UNO MILLE | 50c | 365$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 325.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked UNO MILLE | 49c | 315.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 311$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 231.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked UNO MILLE | 46c | 219.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 187.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 178.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked UNO MILLE | 50c | 175$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 156.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 141.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 136.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed UNO MILLE | 58c | 122.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked UNO MILLE | 44c | 120.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 113.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed UNO MILLE | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UNO MILLE | 43c | 100.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UNO MILLE | 47c | 81.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked UNO MILLE | 45c | 53.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 47.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE | 79c | 47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 46.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed UNO MILLE | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked UNO MILLE | 57c | 43.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked UNO MILLE | 40c | 43.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fake do Biru | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked UNO MILLE | 40c | 34.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 33.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fake do Biru | 53c | 28.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fake do Biru | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed UNO MILLE | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed UNO MILLE | 59c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…1e16backed UNO MILLE | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.