CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74dce85816a0e133b616f676799f348a3cbe727e95c7571957f1737b255a3966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNO MILLE | 18c | 2,535$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed UNO MILLE | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 1,241$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked UNO MILLE | 79c | 678.05$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.92 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 539.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNO MILLE | 52c | 415.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 359.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed UNO MILLE | 50c | 314.49$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 189.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UNO MILLE | 47c | 189.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…6acabacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 186.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UNO MILLE | 51c | 164.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed UNO MILLE | 43c | 149.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 145$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 293 | 53.6%157 W · 136 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed UNO MILLE | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked UNO MILLE | 64c | 137.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 435 | 38.9%169 W · 266 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Fake do Biru | 37c | 133.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 668 | 62.4%417 W · 251 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 129.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE | 58c | 124.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed UNO MILLE | 44c | 86.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 83.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 80.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 72.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed UNO MILLE | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 66.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 60.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fake do Biru | 39c | 46.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 43.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 43.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed UNO MILLE | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed UNO MILLE | 46c | 33.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked UNO MILLE | 45c | 32.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 748 | 53.5%400 W · 348 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked UNO MILLE | 55c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked UNO MILLE | 60c | 28.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 27.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked UNO MILLE | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked UNO MILLE | 80c | 18.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 505 | 58.4%295 W · 210 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group AFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.