CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x642166485f6b0b4181fe8b6cb3576aa11d6c4471b39724cac1d4e083640c610d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 1,683$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Grêmio Esports | 60c | 1,150$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.46 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 740$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.2 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Grêmio Esports | 65c | 625.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 621.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 532.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 422.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed METANOIA WOLVES | 10c | 319$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 315.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Grêmio Esports | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grêmio Esports | 76c | 280$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Grêmio Esports | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 77c | 223$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 77c | 182.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Grêmio Esports | 72c | 172.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grêmio Esports | 67c | 166.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Grêmio Esports | 73c | 161.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 159.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports | 72c | 138.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 135.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Grêmio Esports | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 97.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 70c | 89.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 88.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 80.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 57.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 54.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 53.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Grêmio Esports | 69c | 50.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grêmio Esports | 79c | 23.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Grêmio Esports | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1a92backed Grêmio Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageGrêmio Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.