Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa913521fed0fe4f6b24aa01c8984f3f29cb32f2cd070b881444ff6fa3fa0ab9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 13,000$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.48 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked QoR | 25c | 8,950$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.46 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…86a0backed QoR | 1c | 8,177$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…1e42backed QoR | 1c | 4,089$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed QoR | 32c | 2,958$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.39 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…f6babacked QoR | 25c | 2,950$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 1,883$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.7 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed QoR | 20c | 1,376$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked QoR | 33c | 1,169$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.17 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…cd83backed QoR | 14c | 1,077$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 985.66$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.27 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 702.95$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed QoR | 31c | 649.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…7d63backed QoR | 43c | 566.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 514.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed QoR | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed QoR | 28c | 499.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 483.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…428bbacked QoR | 25c | 406.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 397.12$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed QoR | 25c | 384$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked QoR | 22c | 374.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 359.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 250.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed QoR | 26c | 239.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked QoR | 26c | 226.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 159$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 158.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked QoR | 24c | 154.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QoR | 20c | 151.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…500abacked QoR | 29c | 147.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 145.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 144.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed QoR | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 132.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 130.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QoR | 23c | 128.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed QoR | 28c | 121.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 115$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 114.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked QoR | 22c | 113.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed QoR | 22c | 110.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QoR | 19c | 107.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 104.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked QoR | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 96.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed QoR | 31c | 86.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed QoR | 22c | 83.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed QoR | 25c | 78.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed QoR | 24c | 76.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 71.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed QoR | 36c | 68.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 58.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed QoR | 21c | 57.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 57.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed QoR | 36c | 57.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…d782backed QoR | 36c | 57.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed QoR | 28c | 53.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 50.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed QoR | 25c | 45.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 40.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 39.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 21.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0fa8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237d…2853backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 15.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR - Map 2 WinnerQoR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.