Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6e520d985ddad04800f26272dad7ba201786c3d2785b388500d857fd347516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe58b…3980backed No | 3c | 3,676$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,601$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.2 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 55c | 3,321$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.8 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 18c | 2,505$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.89 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 2,252$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 28c | 1,836$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.04 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 5c | 1,644$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.13 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 35c | 1,388$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 1c | 1,168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 1,099$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.76 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 2c | 1,074$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked Yes | 13c | 898.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.29 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 709.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.3 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 65c | 659.93$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 652.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.58 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 25c | 554.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed No | 25c | 537.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 13c | 520$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 12c | 508$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.49 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked Yes | 11c | 443.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.46 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 60c | 439.46$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.55 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 32c | 420.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…86b4backed No | 40c | 404.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 31c | 396.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 20c | 389.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…576dbacked Yes | 10c | 383.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.63 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed No | 63c | 373.97$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 28c | 349.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed Yes | 32c | 345.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 38c | 342.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 338$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 327.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 16c | 325.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 31c | 320.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 75c | 315.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 308.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 67c | 287.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 6c | 267.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 265.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…649cbacked Yes | 78c | 255.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 80c | 246.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 5c | 233.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 15c | 211.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 8c | 209.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 14c | 206.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 20c | 197.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 40c | 195.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Yes | 26c | 190.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 45c | 187.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 80c | 184.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 31c | 183$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 182.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 15c | 179.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 8c | 172.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 7c | 171$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 75c | 161.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 160$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 33c | 159.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 36c | 153.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 55c | 149.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 147.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 17c | 144.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked Yes | 14c | 138.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 135.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…0c9fbacked Yes | 9c | 134.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 124.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 49c | 122.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 52c | 121.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 28c | 120.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 47c | 114.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 48c | 107.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 52c | 106.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 10c | 103.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 22c | 100.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 13c | 95.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…fb51backed Yes | 14c | 91.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 85.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…b4cebacked No | 65c | 76.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 31c | 76.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…5199backed Yes | 32c | 74.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 58c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 17c | 66.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Yes | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 25c | 64.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 64.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 51c | 62.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 19c | 60.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed No | 79c | 55.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 38c | 51.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.