Fifa International · resolved market
Will England beat Ireland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a48816414341dc512714fd9b25acf447d5c651142ef5263d6976d05356d4875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 21c | 15,061$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 20c | 6,170$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.75 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,001$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 79c | 5,950$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 80c | 2,965$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.95 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed No | 18c | 2,865$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…3b5abacked Yes | 80c | 2,859$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,419$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 80c | 2,005$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.43 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 21c | 1,779$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 77c | 1,727$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,508$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 21c | 871.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…eb38backed Yes | 80c | 716.25$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 80c | 562.18$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 19c | 505.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed No | 21c | 478.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Yes | 80c | 316.16$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 302.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 80c | 193.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb801…9c97backed Yes | 79c | 182.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…91b0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 79c | 122.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 19c | 94.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 27c | 93.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 17c | 76.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…566ebacked Yes | 79c | 74.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467f…5f35backed Yes | 79c | 68.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 72c | 43.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…7f43backed Yes | 79c | 40.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 70c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…28abbacked Yes | 79c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…6384backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…8df5backed Yes | 79c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 79c | 12.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…3468backed Yes | 79c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England beat Ireland?this page
- Will Ireland beat England?No won
- Will the match between England and Ireland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.