Champions League · resolved market
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf499f5a7c3b2aa7a419d575249a03bfc7916ed7475ef56cac0889da7ab346800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 51c | 8,488$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 56c | 7,184$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 45c | 5,223$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 44c | 2,764$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.98 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…a98bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,210$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…1c2cbacked No | 48c | 2,056$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 8c | 1,895$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,844$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 39c | 1,531$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 52c | 1,021$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed No | 49c | 999.87$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…034bbacked Yes | 51c | 988.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed No | 51c | 843.43$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 807.57$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 50c | 759.11$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 58c | 591.36$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 27c | 590.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Yes | 55c | 410.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c3…6d17backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 50c | 399.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 20c | 350.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 316.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed No | 46c | 217.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 27c | 187.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…4711backed No | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…cb3fbacked No | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…7603backed Yes | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed Yes | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed No | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 55c | 149.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 51c | 145.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed Yes | 55c | 101.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…95a8backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…08a5backed Yes | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 34c | 58.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…bef2backed Yes | 55c | 52.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…633bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Yes | 73c | 40.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed No | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…a041backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…9321backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked No | 46c | 23.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?this page
- Will Young Boys beat Shakhtar Donetsk?No won
- Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Young Boys end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.