Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal beat Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b69dafd4fc14b7884a3e8b2924cc25c47dae7dc73d886c3ad0c1780a65e5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb19…ea14backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 69c | 4,634$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 67c | 3,317$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.2 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 65c | 2,524$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.63 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 30c | 1,750$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 63c | 1,712$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,407$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Yes | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…e5b7backed Yes | 28c | 722.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 30c | 664.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 34c | 511.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 68c | 467.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 32c | 392.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 32c | 319.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes | 45c | 280$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 262.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 48c | 222.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 58c | 200.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 32c | 187.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 65c | 140.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…f39fbacked Yes | 32c | 129.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Yes | 36c | 127.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 64c | 121.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 117.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…7884backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…c615backed Yes | 35c | 82.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…fb54backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…6c3bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7530backed Yes | 32c | 58.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 38c | 58.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed No | 55c | 54.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…f8b8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…8b2ebacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…e09bbacked Yes | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…d42fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…63eabacked Yes | 35c | 29.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…57c5backed Yes | 57c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal beat Croatia?this page
- Will Croatia beat Portugal?No won
- Will the match between Croatia and Portugal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.