NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6ffea8000a7fa43ff8104b85e9a1cf435b28dda9ebb690b51ec052cfa76108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 9,425$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.74 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 9,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Timberwolves | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Timberwolves | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.99 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 79c | 3,420$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.47 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Timberwolves | 10c | 3,020$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 22c | 2,531$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.4 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 2,466$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 2,406$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,047$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.03 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Timberwolves | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Timberwolves | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 1,900$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,746$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.32 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,406$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.09 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,397$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,325$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.75 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed Timberwolves | 18c | 1,167$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,152$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.33 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 909.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.02 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Timberwolves | 80c | 778.02$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 590.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Timberwolves | 18c | 584.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 515$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.69 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 44c | 500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Timberwolves | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Timberwolves | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 464.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 450.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.46 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 428.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 419.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…bc71backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Timberwolves | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Timberwolves | 77c | 332.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 325.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 300$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Timberwolves | 75c | 290$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 289.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 270.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 80c | 252.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Timberwolves | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…02dabacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 247.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Timberwolves | 78c | 242.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 228.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 223.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 220.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 216.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 215$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5df8backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 207.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 204.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Timberwolves | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…28c6backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Trail Blazers | 80c | 193.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…4a10backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 173.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +253.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 160.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…2a44backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 160.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 150.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 76c | 138.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Timberwolves | 77c | 136.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 133.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed Timberwolves | 78c | 131.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…d3f2backed Timberwolves | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Timberwolves | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 114.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…d16abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…34f8backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 107.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 107.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Timberwolves | 79c | 103.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 103.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…c9afbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Timberwolves | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.