Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece beat Finland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5e55ac4cded3291dd45bb4a42f4a7616993fb1bae651bebc4581de8ccbbfc18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 54c | 4,352$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 46c | 2,843$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.99 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 47c | 2,833$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 53c | 2,456$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.17 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 884.48$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.24 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 43c | 864.81$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 812.38$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…49e3backed No | 45c | 661.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…b7fabacked No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 49c | 631.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed No | 48c | 537.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 54c | 340.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 54c | 322.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 43c | 286.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 57c | 286.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 56c | 268.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…6202backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 57c | 234.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 52c | 232.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 57c | 207.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 50c | 202.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 52c | 193.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 192.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…730bbacked Yes | 51c | 185.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…d0edbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 172.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 26c | 167.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 48c | 154.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 44c | 130.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 49c | 111.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 65c | 88.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Yes | 50c | 81.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 52c | 72.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 55c | 63.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…fa63backed Yes | 49c | 55.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 47c | 45.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…9779backed Yes | 49c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a60…0f21backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…3e62backed Yes | 55c | 28.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…9c54backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…6384backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3828…4df9backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece beat Finland?this page
- Will Finland beat Greece?No won
- Will the match between Finland and Greece end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.