College Football · resolved market
Will BYU beat Kansas?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9116db149657b873f437bd215de7313693669009a043b0f8be40c5bfe02d7cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansasof BYU, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kansas | 43c | 14,407$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,197.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…bd2abacked BYU | 59c | 14,235$8,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,436.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Kansas | 41c | 6,000$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked BYU | 50c | 3,333$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas | 48c | 2,466$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.49 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Kansas | 35c | 1,266$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked BYU | 55c | 1,226$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Kansas | 45c | 1,210$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Kansas | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Kansas | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed BYU | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked BYU | 50c | 1,055$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.2 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 57c | 1,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.87 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Kansas | 43c | 924.25$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Kansas | 43c | 903.18$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kansas | 43c | 890.16$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed BYU | 64c | 700$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked BYU | 58c | 695.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed BYU | 69c | 659.57$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Kansas | 50c | 580.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Kansas | 31c | 579.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked BYU | 64c | 568.75$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Kansas | 41c | 516.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked BYU | 44c | 514.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.41 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kansas | 39c | 512.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.4 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed BYU | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Kansas | 46c | 357.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…32eabacked BYU | 56c | 354.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…01c0backed BYU | 57c | 348.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…7826backed BYU | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…124abacked BYU | 56c | 267.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed BYU | 73c | 245.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…542fbacked BYU | 56c | 231$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Kansas | 43c | 227.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Kansas | 45c | 177.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed BYU | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed BYU | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…1d1abacked BYU | 44c | 122.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kansas | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kansas | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed BYU | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…943ebacked BYU | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed BYU | 56c | 83.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked BYU | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed BYU | 52c | 62.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed BYU | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed BYU | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed BYU | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked BYU | 60c | 35.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked BYU | 62c | 35.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…861cbacked BYU | 63c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…da6dbacked BYU | 60c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…fe5dbacked BYU | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BYU beat Kansas?this page
- Will BYU beat Kansas by 4 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.