NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c03eef840cd09c9e81c944aad310251922fffb3ee6426612441bb3535fbc56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pacers | 72c | 58,320$41,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,809.55 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers | 33c | 24,768$8,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.87 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed 76ers | 27c | 17,656$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,889 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed 76ers | 66c | 7,377$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.68 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed 76ers | 38c | 6,416$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.4 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 36c | 6,019$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.04 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed 76ers | 24c | 4,813$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.17 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed 76ers | 24c | 4,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed 76ers | 22c | 4,289$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 26c | 4,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Pacers | 71c | 3,381$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.61 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 27c | 2,853$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.06 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 73c | 2,497$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed 76ers | 39c | 1,798$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.3 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked 76ers | 36c | 1,423$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 76ers | 25c | 1,110$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…8874backed Pacers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers | 25c | 999.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.92 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers | 34c | 868.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.29 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked 76ers | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Pacers | 74c | 753.61$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Pacers | 72c | 682.4$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked 76ers | 22c | 588.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Pacers | 74c | 518.38$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed 76ers | 10c | 452.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…890abacked 76ers | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pacers | 39c | 334$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Pacers | 65c | 302.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked 76ers | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Pacers | 70c | 292$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Pacers | 71c | 267.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked 76ers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked 76ers | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed 76ers | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…a15abacked 76ers | 53c | 169.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Pacers | 72c | 151.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed 76ers | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…e373backed 76ers | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…4de3backed 76ers | 23c | 144.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed 76ers | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…9741backed Pacers | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked 76ers | 19c | 115$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed 76ers | 26c | 110.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed 76ers | 18c | 104.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed 76ers | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…947ebacked Pacers | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed 76ers | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked 76ers | 25c | 99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…c157backed 76ers | 31c | 96.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked 76ers | 28c | 88.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…719ebacked Pacers | 74c | 88.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed 76ers | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked 76ers | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…f344backed Pacers | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked 76ers | 31c | 52.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed 76ers | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…3175backed 76ers | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked 76ers | 26c | 41.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…f8adbacked Pacers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Pacers | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…24f8backed Pacers | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Pacers | 74c | 30.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Pacers | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…7a8abacked Pacers | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…e74ebacked 76ers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Pacers | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…a5a1backed Pacers | 75c | 23.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…e549backed Pacers | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Pacers | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…f4abbacked Pacers | 74c | 17.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…a1ffbacked Pacers | 77c | 16.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Pacers | 73c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ae…7367backed Pacers | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.