UFC · resolved market
Meerschaert vs. de Ridder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d59e163c743b3d68f8341d929f924df7b7528a1257006a94b58249c2c3fd4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- de Ridderof Meerschaert, de Ridder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd314…2859backed de Ridder | 62c | 3,846$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed de Ridder | 60c | 2,127$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Meerschaert | 50c | 2,051$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed de Ridder | 65c | 1,323$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.62 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Meerschaert | 29c | 1,207$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Meerschaert | 29c | 1,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked de Ridder | 70c | 552.46$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed de Ridder | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Meerschaert | 18c | 443.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked de Ridder | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Meerschaert | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Meerschaert | 32c | 321.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed de Ridder | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed de Ridder | 45c | 279.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…7f85backed Meerschaert | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Meerschaert | 61c | 247.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Meerschaert | 43c | 242.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Meerschaert | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…b853backed Meerschaert | 27c | 200.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed de Ridder | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed de Ridder | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Meerschaert | 24c | 197.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed de Ridder | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed de Ridder | 52c | 193.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…ab52backed de Ridder | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…082abacked de Ridder | 71c | 183$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…15c0backed Meerschaert | 26c | 161.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed de Ridder | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Meerschaert | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…276dbacked de Ridder | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed de Ridder | 74c | 125.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0547backed Meerschaert | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Meerschaert | 25c | 98.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Meerschaert | 26c | 90.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Meerschaert | 28c | 72.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…cb7fbacked de Ridder | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…3777backed de Ridder | 74c | 67.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Meerschaert | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…4eebbacked de Ridder | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…c8f6backed de Ridder | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…40dcbacked de Ridder | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…8620backed de Ridder | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…3fcabacked de Ridder | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed de Ridder | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Meerschaert | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Meerschaert | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…feb6backed de Ridder | 73c | 49.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…b923backed de Ridder | 74c | 47.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed de Ridder | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…44d9backed de Ridder | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…1c1dbacked de Ridder | 71c | 44.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…fbacbacked de Ridder | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed de Ridder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e784backed de Ridder | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed de Ridder | 72c | 40.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Meerschaert | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Meerschaert | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5249…2070backed de Ridder | 74c | 39.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed de Ridder | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked de Ridder | 65c | 34.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…8ca5backed de Ridder | 77c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…a9b3backed de Ridder | 76c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Meerschaert | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked de Ridder | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…6fadbacked de Ridder | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…a857backed de Ridder | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…1958backed de Ridder | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9989…30babacked de Ridder | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…13c9backed de Ridder | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d9c9backed de Ridder | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…8821backed de Ridder | 76c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…e135backed de Ridder | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Meerschaert vs. de Ridderthis page
- Kowalkiewicz vs. GomesGomes won
- Magny vs. PratesPrates won
- Pinheiro vs. RobertsonRobertson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.