Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bbee10bb08fcd42105e6cf3fed2125a049efd6d808c1046a63e52b69a57e389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 25c | 4,438$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 65c | 2,688$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 65c | 2,429$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.58 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 36c | 2,317$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 39c | 1,759$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…7c26backed Yes | 34c | 1,459$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…a98bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,409$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,340$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 66c | 1,304$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 999.9$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 59c | 852$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 64c | 846.67$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.66 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 65c | 829.81$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 64c | 486.57$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 35c | 443.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…2b62backed Yes | 25c | 336.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 25c | 316.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…439abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked No | 65c | 208.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…0c7fbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 36c | 130.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 63c | 111.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…70c7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 78c | 82.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…a709backed Yes | 35c | 79.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…6d25backed Yes | 36c | 78.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 31c | 77.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 34c | 73.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…0bbcbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed Yes | 22c | 66.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdac…a6fdbacked Yes | 35c | 58.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924e…e131backed Yes | 36c | 54.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…1877backed Yes | 36c | 50.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 33c | 45.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…893fbacked Yes | 36c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…4190backed Yes | 36c | 38.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…34bcbacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…e104backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…b96abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…3e62backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?Yes won
- Will the match between Inter Milan and Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.