Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e7126c4a47acb718ed0da37f0cae9adcaa69e32e4554b51050dfe7991adf22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 76c | 5,843$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.27 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 63c | 3,935$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.18 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 34c | 3,811$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.37 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 6c | 3,130$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 48c | 2,410$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Yes | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 63c | 2,340$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.84 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,186$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 65c | 1,319$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…1c2cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 60c | 986.89$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 44c | 684.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 63c | 577.37$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b4afbacked Yes | 69c | 534.09$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 51c | 526.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 36c | 500$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 72c | 481.58$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked No | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…c0edbacked Yes | 38c | 399.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked No | 33c | 377.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 38c | 347.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 60c | 305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked Yes | 37c | 270.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…9c8cbacked Yes | 62c | 226.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…3312backed Yes | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 36c | 222.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…3f87backed Yes | 38c | 218.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…bef2backed Yes | 43c | 211.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed No | 65c | 153.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…7603backed Yes | 37c | 142.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…651fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…7452backed Yes | 38c | 117.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…59f6backed Yes | 37c | 112.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d0b1backed No | 65c | 112.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 34c | 110.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…0b17backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…35f0backed Yes | 39c | 77.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 60c | 76.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…b345backed Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 37c | 65.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…1438backed Yes | 80c | 64.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…8d88backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…3023backed Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed No | 39c | 47.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 42c | 44.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…67cfbacked Yes | 38c | 42.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 72c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 38c | 40.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…ed44backed Yes | 38c | 39.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…3aacbacked Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d3d1backed No | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…9760backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…2662backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 38c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aa3dbacked No | 66c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?this page
- Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?No won
- Will the match between Inter Milan and Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.