NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a4f05ca4f2c9ae2b16a246c288adc6676c4f35764d5744d88f469b8cd995ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Bulls | 49c | 61,431$30,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,162.53 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 61c | 41,771$25,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,365.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Knicks | 25c | 12,352$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.98 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Knicks | 63c | 9,070$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.31 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Bulls | 31c | 6,013$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.79 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Knicks | 74c | 5,984$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks | 72c | 5,533$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.33 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Knicks | 29c | 5,378$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.95 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bulls | 73c | 5,322$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.82 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Bulls | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Bulls | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Knicks | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Knicks | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Knicks | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Bulls | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Bulls | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Knicks | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Bulls | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Knicks | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls | 43c | 3,713$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.24 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Bulls | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Knicks | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks | 71c | 2,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 39c | 2,724$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.45 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 28c | 2,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,106$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.56 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Knicks | 73c | 1,976$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.8 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 36c | 1,830$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.58 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks | 36c | 1,697$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Knicks | 59c | 1,554$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.62 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 43c | 1,533$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.25 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,312$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9347…b5d7backed Bulls | 29c | 1,295$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Knicks | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Bulls | 26c | 1,208$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Knicks | 69c | 1,120$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.42 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Bulls | 25c | 1,064$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Knicks | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Knicks | 75c | 989.33$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Bulls | 26c | 988.46$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Bulls | 31c | 968.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.79 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Knicks | 74c | 959.44$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.73 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Knicks | 43c | 906.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…8828backed Bulls | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Knicks | 78c | 899.62$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.7 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks | 72c | 786.29$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.87 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…3719backed Knicks | 72c | 756.85$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Bulls | 26c | 750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Knicks | 74c | 734.98$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Bulls | 27c | 727.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.51 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Knicks | 73c | 705.84$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Knicks | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Bulls | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…04f2backed Bulls | 29c | 693.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4de…a998backed Knicks | 72c | 693.06$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…32cdbacked Knicks | 74c | 690.8$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…ecd6backed Knicks | 72c | 676.51$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls | 41c | 646.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.96 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Bulls | 41c | 613.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Knicks | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Knicks | 57c | 599.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bulls | 73c | 555$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c721backed Knicks | 76c | 525.04$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Bulls | 28c | 490$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Knicks | 72c | 490$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks | 68c | 468.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Bulls | 62c | 465.34$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls | 28c | 457.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.81 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Bulls | 52c | 422.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Bulls | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Bulls | 33c | 366.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 21c | 345.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Knicks | 74c | 324.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041a…805cbacked Bulls | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…61cbbacked Bulls | 30c | 302.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Knicks | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bulls | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Bulls | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4677…fcf8backed Bulls | 26c | 280.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…b36ebacked Knicks | 40c | 279.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks | 55c | 269.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…abecbacked Bulls | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Knicks | 76c | 263.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bulls | 62c | 262.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Bulls | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Knicks | 54c | 248.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Bulls | 32c | 232.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3ac2backed Knicks | 74c | 224.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Knicks | 74c | 223.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Bulls | 68c | 222.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Knicks | 48c | 219.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Bulls | 52c | 216.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Knicks | 37c | 209.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Bulls | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Bulls | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Bulls | 38c | 199.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.