TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c3,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed No30c2,590$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.561741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes71c1,931$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9110650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes68c1,510$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No29c1,410$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.886346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes71c1,004$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.9517945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes70c985.07$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.526959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No28c839.46$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked No35c693$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No50c565$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.88652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes69c521.56$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No67c518.45$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.363650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No45c451.61$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes42c363.06$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.253732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed Yes71c349.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.483076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes33c324.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859b…f48bbacked Yes73c320.74$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes75c299.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.888646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No28c285.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.079943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes72c277.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.711838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes54c273.31$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.722755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No28c250.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes68c149.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9c…b949backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ce…4711backed No31c126.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…f213backed No28c122.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+64%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed No27c119.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes37c108.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.33360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6b…bb64backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35e…5921backed No29c99.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes73c89.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbe…1ff9backed Yes72c88.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324e…1e02backed Yes74c88.47$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…6be4backed Yes72c82.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No26c76.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1313652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes74c75.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.685541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x22dd…33c0backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No28c63.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.013551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked No33c59.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0205…2555backed Yes46c59.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No27c58.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.895554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No28c54.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5714450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes73c54.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.795952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No43c51.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes37c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.69534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796e…cc95backed Yes32c49.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No26c49.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1229751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91e…9cc5backed Yes71c47.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82c…89a1backed Yes71c47.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes55c47.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.284938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6729146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…8932backed Yes73c32.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb17…13fabacked Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12875%21 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7932…2aacbacked No57c29.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1968…4ffbbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…5543backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes73c27.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa1c…01c4backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a05…f894backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f9…547dbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes74c27.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0913149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045b…9cd5backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes71c26.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.856747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7274…4072backed Yes56c26.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c57…eb35backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…7e4fbacked Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…2027backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes72c19.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Yes66c19.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.628254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked No66c19.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes62c17.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…a729backed Yes72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9511241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x354d…c5abbacked Yes70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…ba63backed Yes73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.