Champions League · resolved market
Will Sparta Praha beat Stade Brestois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a11b603f7bcdb1a028be7e6876c64242c993923567f90738bbb2b771bc8efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 65c | 951.7$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…7daabacked Yes | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 60c | 724.45$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 4c | 514.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…3f87backed Yes | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 59c | 218.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed No | 67c | 210.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 41c | 192.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 36c | 149.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 41c | 109.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 40c | 79.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 64c | 56.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 67c | 44.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 26.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…3f8bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Praha beat Stade Brestois?this page
- Will Stade Brestois beat Sparta Praha?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.