NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbd524b5b6112c0c7cd247d2f0e491f932ca4ced35651739bc56d5cfe2f1ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Wizards, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 12,681$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Wizards | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Spurs | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 78c | 9,606$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Wizards | 25c | 9,000$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Spurs | 76c | 5,200$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…a4cebacked Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Spurs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 23c | 4,466$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.15 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 20c | 4,351$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.27 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Spurs | 75c | 2,590$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Spurs | 79c | 2,035$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked Spurs | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Spurs | 79c | 1,991$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.14 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wizards | 21c | 1,929$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.38 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Spurs | 79c | 1,672$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Spurs | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Spurs | 79c | 882.07$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs | 75c | 857.26$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Spurs | 78c | 788.64$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…8828backed Wizards | 21c | 751.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Wizards | 29c | 690.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Wizards | 22c | 579.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…1a0ebacked Spurs | 80c | 506.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Wizards | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…a400backed Wizards | 21c | 495.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f4f4backed Wizards | 22c | 495.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Spurs | 79c | 495.04$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…6765backed Spurs | 80c | 495.04$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…e8c3backed Spurs | 79c | 467.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Wizards | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Wizards | 27c | 441.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9713backed Wizards | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Spurs | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Spurs | 78c | 327.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Spurs | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 22c | 300.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Spurs | 78c | 252.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Spurs | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…9056backed Wizards | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Wizards | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Wizards | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…4a10backed Wizards | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +253.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a3ffbacked Wizards | 21c | 195.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Wizards | 8c | 184.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Spurs | 77c | 150.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Wizards | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Wizards | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 79c | 149.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…fc95backed Spurs | 73c | 136.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Wizards | 23c | 135.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Wizards | 20c | 134.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Spurs | 75c | 133.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…0bd2backed Spurs | 80c | 125.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Spurs | 79c | 124.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Wizards | 21c | 113.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Wizards | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…ef45backed Wizards | 22c | 106.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wizards | 21c | 104.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…c75abacked Wizards | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Wizards | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Wizards | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Wizards | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…66a5backed Wizards | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Wizards | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Wizards | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…111cbacked Spurs | 79c | 91.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 28c | 85.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…2550backed Wizards | 32c | 81.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…6e31backed Spurs | 80c | 80.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Wizards | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 190 | 58.4%111 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Spurs | 78c | 77.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Spurs | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…caedbacked Spurs | 79c | 73.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed Spurs | 79c | 70.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…9e11backed Spurs | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wizards | 17c | 68.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Spurs | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…a586backed Wizards | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Wizards | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Spurs | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.