Cricket · resolved market
Rajasthan Royals vs. Mumbai Indians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54627a2d2dd8b37e096d85c272211dc66e071c03b5fceddb33a23f861460cbef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Rajasthan Royals, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2de0…9869backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 33,800$21,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…2eeebacked Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 31,400$10,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5d11backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 25,250$16,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,837.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…3520backed Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 24,850$8,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,697.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…dd52backed Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 2,793$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 1,029$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.83 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…3e7dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 37c | 998.43$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…b530backed Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 997.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef8…7effbacked Rajasthan Royals | 19c | 900$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mumbai Indians | 77c | 615.47$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…d868backed Rajasthan Royals | 48c | 567.22$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…1ff2backed Rajasthan Royals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mumbai Indians | 64c | 486.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Rajasthan Royals | 37c | 364.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rajasthan Royals | 38c | 338.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 328.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 310.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…4c0fbacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 256.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4203…0894backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.5wins | +0.42per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…f11ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 15c | 169.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mumbai Indians | 66c | 151.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…4e3cbacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 151.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…c911backed Rajasthan Royals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee48…8155backed Rajasthan Royals | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Rajasthan Royals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Rajasthan Royals | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Mumbai Indians | 65c | 87.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3574…124cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 19c | 80.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…4f30backed Rajasthan Royals | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 75.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…88a0backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 64.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c7…732abacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 53.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…8f2cbacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6f8bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Rajasthan Royals | 34c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…086abacked Mumbai Indians | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Rajasthan Royals | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…b4bbbacked Mumbai Indians | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…8810backed Mumbai Indians | 63c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.