Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb248442db9d4f16554dfc44b66614647cd81f56552365d05666a431b8afe3282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof BoomBoys, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 57c | 57,554$32,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,928.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 44c | 28,397$12,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,825.3 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 21,497$7,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,271.75 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 17,950$9,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 16,352$8,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.35 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 13,113$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591.89 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 12,264$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.32 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed BoomBoys | 50c | 11,319$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.37 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed BoomBoys | 42c | 8,645$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.12 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed BoomBoys | 46c | 8,045$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.34 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 7,691$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 6,749$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.96 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 6,059$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed BoomBoys | 47c | 5,373$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.37 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked BoomBoys | 42c | 5,126$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.14 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…072fbacked Team Falcons | 12c | 5,121$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 56c | 5,000$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.24 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked BoomBoys | 42c | 4,770$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 67c | 4,611$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.03 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed BoomBoys | 44c | 4,432$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.5 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed BoomBoys | 71c | 4,234$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.74 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 4,066$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked BoomBoys | 58c | 4,063$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.11 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 3,669$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.97 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 2c | 3,596$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 3,423$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.62 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed BoomBoys | 63c | 3,087$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.7 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Falcons | 12c | 3,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BoomBoys | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BoomBoys | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Falcons | 21c | 2,900$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 35c | 2,896$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.66 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 2,832$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Team Falcons | 18c | 2,790$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BoomBoys | 43c | 2,668$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.92 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,600$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.42 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,571$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.95 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,500$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.28 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed BoomBoys | 44c | 2,298$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.94 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Team Falcons | 4c | 2,290$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 32c | 2,204$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.48 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked BoomBoys | 54c | 2,065$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.05 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed BoomBoys | 41c | 2,052$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.42 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed BoomBoys | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BoomBoys | 65c | 1,963$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.22 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed BoomBoys | 44c | 1,893$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked BoomBoys | 57c | 1,715$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.57 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 1,711$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…ad01backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,604$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 1,567$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked BoomBoys | 75c | 1,566$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked BoomBoys | 69c | 1,554$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.27 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 1,481$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 1,450$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 1,441$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BoomBoys | 44c | 1,432$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.59 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked BoomBoys | 69c | 1,425$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 1,407$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.28 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BoomBoys | 69c | 1,346$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked BoomBoys | 46c | 1,294$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed BoomBoys | 42c | 1,205$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.98 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed BoomBoys | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked BoomBoys | 45c | 1,191$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.05 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked BoomBoys | 45c | 1,170$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Falcons | 19c | 1,168$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,162$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.26 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,161$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed BoomBoys | 55c | 1,154$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,150$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.5 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,099$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.19 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,011$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.85 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked BoomBoys | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Team Falcons | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed BoomBoys | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Team Falcons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 54c | 999.96$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Falcons | 4c | 990.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 974.99$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.49 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 964.86$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 919.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BoomBoys | 65c | 900$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 896.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2d1backed BoomBoys | 45c | 829$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Falcons | 53c | 792.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Team Falcons | 18c | 777.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed BoomBoys | 44c | 773.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 763.13$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.13 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed BoomBoys | 46c | 760$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…7b15backed Team Falcons | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 627.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.