South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf48640ecb846e54f3611a07e7745c5dae54f3ed2b1d37fca0f736674c78b79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,100$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 4,055$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 62c | 2,022$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 75c | 1,847$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.45 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,221$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,161$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 8c | 960.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 956.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 25c | 715.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.99 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 682$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.73 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 646.49$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.16 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 521.4$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 499$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 494.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.34 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 362.4$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.67 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 44c | 348.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 324$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 68c | 318$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 228$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 211.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 25c | 207.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 187.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 169.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked No | 20c | 101.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 17c | 92.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 38c | 87.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked No | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 53.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 77c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…ddb2backed Yes | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 74c | 44.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 44.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 23c | 43.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…ac6bbacked Yes | 36c | 43.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…9501backed Yes | 60c | 41.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 57c | 41.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Yes | 70c | 37.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 37.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…760ebacked Yes | 63c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 78c | 31.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 42c | 30.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 30.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 65c | 27.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 27.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…a11abacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 23.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed No | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.