TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c8,507$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.821,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c5,743$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c5,461$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c5,188$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.1719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No49c4,893$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.566055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes52c3,708$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes10c2,934$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c2,361$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.291,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c1,387$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.842,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No48c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31512741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes51c555.54$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.447441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No47c551.37$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No37c533.13$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.529229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No50c469.61$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.626546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No25c450$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No48c362.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2414954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c277.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.971,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes27c234.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8213041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512239.3%48 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No47c173.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.015950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No47c169.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.117946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes51c169.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.611540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes65c164.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c136.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.563,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa781…8263backed Yes51c109.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.32040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42da…304cbacked Yes52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c96.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes51c89.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.337930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3923435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.118451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe185…a11abacked Yes15c85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes20c80.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes61c75.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1730841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No69c72.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ea…0d10backed Yes53c69.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes52c65.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.322245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c60.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87a…410bbacked Yes42c57.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305044%22 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes51c47.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed No50c37.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Yes43c37.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0560%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes45c36.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.421,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes75c36.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.336141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No32c35.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No50c32.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.487143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked No47c32.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No33c32.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.432,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.913839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc5…2585backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Yes52c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…15aebacked No50c28.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795d…5687backed Yes51c28.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes41c27.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95cb…8c51backed Yes51c26.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e5…4466backed No50c26.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c24.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9612051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Yes45c22.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa133…d379backed Yes76c22.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9215459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4ec…27c4backed Yes63c19.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes73c14.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.