TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zhangof Zhang, Baena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Baena26c17,096$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.112,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Zhang73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0501,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Baena21c12,721$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.542,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Zhang69c7,691$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.631,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Baena45c3,646$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.0276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Zhang56c3,558$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.1855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Baena50c3,500$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.6881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Baena4c2,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8113134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang74c2,221$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.542,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Baena50c2,164$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08239431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zhang50c1,889$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.556,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Zhang53c1,840$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.581,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Zhang52c1,553$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.251,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Baena45c1,110$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.481,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Baena28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Zhang49c1,018$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.513231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Baena50c1,006$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9228444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Zhang55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Zhang55c998.36$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4637444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Zhang51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.351,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Baena26c757.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Baena38c682.92$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Baena5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Baena45c588.23$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.31,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Zhang55c546$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Baena47c540$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Baena10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5312722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Baena44c467.52$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7123945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baena12c394.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.342,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Baena43c390.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.127,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Baena26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Zhang55c365.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6522634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Zhang55c362.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6721758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Zhang55c361.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.897949.4%39 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Zhang57c349.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.451,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Baena46c338.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.711464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Baena35c335.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Zhang56c333.72$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Baena42c331.21$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.117632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Baena44c317.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.834,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Baena22c270.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Zhang56c265.82$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9621843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Zhang56c234.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1311454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Zhang55c231.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.313052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baena47c213.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Zhang55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Zhang54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Baena18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Zhang47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10625542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Baena24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487550.7%38 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Baena45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Zhang56c186.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.55040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Baena49c184.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Zhang55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8252460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Zhang56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5718454.3%100 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baena46c165.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Baena38c156.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1261953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Zhang56c134.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8420643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Baena47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Zhang79c126.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1322953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Zhang55c122.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8626131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Baena25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Zhang55c108.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5724563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Zhang52c106.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Baena47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Zhang55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4535157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e7b…e17ebacked Zhang55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Baena20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Zhang55c99.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca3…0a58backed Baena52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Baena26c93.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Zhang56c89.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4817056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Baena46c87.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.857,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Baena46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Zhang47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.119543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zhang55c82.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zhang52c80.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.451,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Baena46c77.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.746969.6%48 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Baena42c72.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Baena28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Baena46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.238048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa864…e47bbacked Zhang55c69.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.092075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Baena46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.960240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f17…9ab3backed Zhang56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58666.3%57 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baena49c57.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.187,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Zhang55c55.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.910668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zhang63c54.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.074,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zhang55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Zhang55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.554542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Zhang55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5560661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Zhang54c52.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2139backed Zhang55c51.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.344753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baena40c50.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Zhang51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Zhang55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Baena51c45.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.078848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Zhang56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6413066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Baena41c43.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.973,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Baena46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Baena46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.