South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296436210cf466203614ca8c15c9eb367d432ae3c3b424d8de21afdeb6836c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 33c | 878.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 69c | 725.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 656.37$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 43c | 651.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 640.22$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 42c | 427.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 54c | 329.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 32c | 321.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 288.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 34c | 248.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 241.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 152.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 126.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 31c | 121.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 85.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 17c | 84.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 82.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 71c | 71.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 71.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 69.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 69.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 61c | 67.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 68c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 31c | 48.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Yes | 34c | 43.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Yes | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 45c | 39.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 35.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 48c | 32.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…cd3abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked No | 59c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Yes | 65c | 20.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed No | 72c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-17?this page
- Will CS 2 de Mayo vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-02-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.