Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9135f3ca2d23c9ce4964cd9be613daebb0a8002aa8bf3aee3ff30291e1fc09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 9,389$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.76 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 3c | 6,460$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 52c | 5,649$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,020$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 52c | 4,917$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…1b70backed Yes | 49c | 3,918$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 48c | 2,251$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 2,215$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,991$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 1,761$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.67 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 48c | 1,306$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.38 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 944.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 34c | 899.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.19 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…238cbacked Yes | 26c | 777$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…f3f6backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 23c | 623.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 593.88$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 47c | 499.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 61c | 492.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 439.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8a63backed Yes | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 45c | 348.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 347.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes | 52c | 343.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 43c | 327.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 34c | 293.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 52c | 270.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 51c | 261.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 259.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 44c | 254.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 49c | 233.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 41c | 202.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…1651backed Yes | 50c | 201.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 171.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 47c | 168$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 138.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 45c | 133.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 11c | 129.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 45c | 125.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 44c | 113.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 48c | 103.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…e2ebbacked Yes | 48c | 103.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 99.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Yes | 51c | 97.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 33c | 94.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 88.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 66.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 19c | 64.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 51c | 62.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 54c | 59.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed No | 55c | 46.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 44.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 68c | 41.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 49c | 39.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed No | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 69c | 37.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 37.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 49c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Yes | 45c | 32.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked No | 57c | 27.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…7844backed No | 64c | 27.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 53c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked No | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed No | 57c | 26.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked No | 57c | 23.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.