Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3eea220c22e7bbd1f7f055289e9d3ce664bb027234f13e0fa20c8cf40c62e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Mochizuki, Khachanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Khachanov | 77c | 80,003$61,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,396.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mochizuki | 20c | 70,449$14,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,058.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mochizuki | 21c | 35,388$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,274.67 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Khachanov | 71c | 11,310$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.4 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mochizuki | 24c | 10,416$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mochizuki | 15c | 7,254$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Khachanov | 70c | 6,293$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.39 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Khachanov | 79c | 5,630$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.54 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mochizuki | 21c | 5,292$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mochizuki | 16c | 4,714$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mochizuki | 23c | 4,232$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Mochizuki | 20c | 4,214$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.05 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…4320backed Mochizuki | 22c | 3,314$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Khachanov | 79c | 2,680$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mochizuki | 13c | 2,636$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Khachanov | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Mochizuki | 14c | 2,340$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Mochizuki | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…f2debacked Mochizuki | 4c | 1,896$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mochizuki | 18c | 1,744$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Khachanov | 47c | 1,602$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.52 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Khachanov | 63c | 1,350$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Mochizuki | 18c | 1,306$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mochizuki | 13c | 1,234$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mochizuki | 20c | 1,165$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Khachanov | 75c | 1,054$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Mochizuki | 13c | 1,035$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Khachanov | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mochizuki | 33c | 734.66$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Mochizuki | 13c | 727.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Khachanov | 79c | 540$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mochizuki | 24c | 518.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mochizuki | 14c | 518$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Khachanov | 80c | 509.99$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Mochizuki | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Mochizuki | 8c | 461.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mochizuki | 31c | 436.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Mochizuki | 14c | 430.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aad…be6dbacked Mochizuki | 12c | 417.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Mochizuki | 29c | 411$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mochizuki | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Mochizuki | 5c | 385$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Khachanov | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mochizuki | 13c | 344$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Mochizuki | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Mochizuki | 21c | 305.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mochizuki | 24c | 265.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Mochizuki | 12c | 258.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mochizuki | 13c | 233.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Khachanov | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Mochizuki | 29c | 217.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Mochizuki | 13c | 217$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Mochizuki | 7c | 213.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mochizuki | 14c | 212.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Khachanov | 68c | 212$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mochizuki | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mochizuki | 14c | 190.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Mochizuki | 12c | 185.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…f376backed Mochizuki | 6c | 176.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Khachanov | 69c | 157.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Khachanov | 80c | 151.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Mochizuki | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mochizuki | 21c | 140.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Khachanov | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Mochizuki | 57c | 125.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Mochizuki | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Mochizuki | 13c | 123.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mochizuki | 23c | 121.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Mochizuki | 14c | 116.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Khachanov | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Mochizuki | 27c | 108.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Khachanov | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Mochizuki | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Mochizuki | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Khachanov | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Mochizuki | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Mochizuki | 15c | 92.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Mochizuki | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Khachanov | 77c | 84.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Mochizuki | 29c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Mochizuki | 33c | 76.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Khachanov | 79c | 75.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Mochizuki | 18c | 74.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Khachanov | 80c | 66.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Khachanov | 76c | 64.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Khachanov | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Khachanov | 80c | 61.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mochizuki | 21c | 59.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mochizuki | 42c | 50.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1774…47e0backed Khachanov | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Khachanov | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Khachanov | 47c | 41.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Khachanov | 80c | 37.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Khachanov | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Khachanov | 79c | 32.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Khachanov | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Khachanov | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Khachanov | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Khachanov | 79c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Khachanov | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanovthis page
- Mochizuki vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mochizuki vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Mochizuki vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Mochizuki vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Mochizuki vs. Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)Mochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.