TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under55c411,628$225,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,669.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over45c175,000$78,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,7503759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c102,961$46,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,332.521346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over47c30,382$14,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,194.4666047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c25,011$11,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,106.897,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c10,191$4,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.925,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6007261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c6,600$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.892,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c5,766$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.843546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c2,752$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.2867050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over47c2,715$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.053560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over32c1,635$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4718940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Under60c1,475$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over41c1,302$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8538747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over43c855.86$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.078928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over38c813.71$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under56c804.55$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5513662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over47c787.23$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under55c505.05$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.493562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18414542.8%62 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over31c325.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021254.7%116 W · 96 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c323.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.442,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over27c302.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.072,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf0…6401backed Over3c296.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over28c281.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8639850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over41c265.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.641421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c247.89$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.322,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c246.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0514954.4%81 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over32c240.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5411746.2%54 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under77c235.38$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.048557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over49c205.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.883737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over27c185.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954965.3%32 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Under75c183.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over47c175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9e…a5a2backed Under59c169.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over34c154.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1611656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58873.9%65 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe34…3e44backed Under53c147.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509030%27 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over43c135.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.347054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over43c134.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1934158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over42c119.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3613842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.181,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over47c112.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over34c102.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.979943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over29c102.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.618650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over48c102.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.98137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-87.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4847842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked Over41c88.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.97633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Over16c85.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over32c84.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.837957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over23c82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-83.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Under68c76.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Over42c70.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+236%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over46c67.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2670%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Over41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.793748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over47c63.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over45c61.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6110236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over33c60.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.222190.5%19 W · 2 L+6.1wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+52.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.49160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x466f…6000backed Over47c57.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over47c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+75.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5625859.7%154 W · 104 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over47c52.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over49c51.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c40.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.066972.5%50 W · 19 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under52c39.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.192050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c39.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.196155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over46c38.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Over47c37.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6a…089bbacked Over47c37.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked Over47c36.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over47c35.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over48c33.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.163354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over47c28.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3524146.9%113 W · 128 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over46c26.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.317861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23c…249bbacked Under79c26.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…dd01backed Over47c25.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over43c23.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over47c22.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.