Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74f5f64626c735fd33ec990e8711421aea5b5f96488d9d61a4d5bb075a1e8a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,935$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 1,543$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 26c | 1,239$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 701.75$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 68c | 509.05$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 52c | 377.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 68c | 182$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 145.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…aef4backed Yes | 15c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 49c | 51.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 46c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 70c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 26.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.